Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
25.55%
±12.32%
|
2.95 | -24.6% |
| Draw |
32.59%
±2.23%
|
3.50 | +14.0% |
| Celtic wins |
41.86%
±13.7%
|
2.23 | -6.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hearts
Celtic
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hearts
Celtic
Shots
13.1
16.3
Shots On Target
4.0
5.4
Corners
5.4
5.9
Fouls
10.1
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hearts
Celtic
Shots
8.5
15.2
Shots On Target
3.6
5.4
Corners
4.2
8.4
Fouls
9.4
9.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
0.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hearts Wins
4Draws
0Celtic Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Hearts Win | 1:2 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:1 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Celtic Win | 3:0 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Celtic Win | 1:4 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Celtic Win | 2:0 |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Hibernian | 3:2 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Rangers | 2:1 | W |
Celtic - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 0:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | 4:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rangers | 1:3 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Motherwell | 2:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Livingston | 2:4 | W |