Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
44.29%
±14.35%
|
1.83 | -19.0% |
| Draw |
31.87%
±3.72%
|
3.50 | +11.5% |
| Hibernian wins |
23.84%
±11.02%
|
4.05 | -3.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hearts
Hibernian
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hearts
Hibernian
Shots
13.2
14.9
Shots On Target
5.4
5.1
Corners
4.8
5.3
Fouls
10.0
12.1
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hearts
Hibernian
Shots
12.2
13.4
Shots On Target
3.4
4.4
Corners
5.7
4.6
Fouls
10.1
11.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hearts Wins
2Draws
4Hibernian Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Hibernian Win | 3:2 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Hearts Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Mar 2025 | Hibernian Win | 2:1 |
| 26 Dec 2024 | Hibernian Win | 1:2 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | St Mirren | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Dundee United | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Celtic | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
Hibernian - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Feb 2026 | Dundee United | 3:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Rangers | 0:0 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 4:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Motherwell | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Kilmarnock | 1:3 | W |