Hearts vs Kilmarnock
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
67.7%
Hearts to win
±11.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
67.67%
±11.65%
|
1.35 | -8.6% |
| Draw |
22.8%
±5.94%
|
4.67 | +6.4% |
| Kilmarnock wins |
9.53%
±5.81%
|
8.25 | -21.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Shots
14.7
10.7
Shots On Target
5.5
3.8
Corners
4.9
4.8
Fouls
11.5
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Shots
13.3
13.5
Shots On Target
3.8
4.2
Corners
5.6
4.6
Fouls
11.3
12.7
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hearts Wins
4Draws
3Kilmarnock Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Hearts Win | 0:3 |
| 18 May 2025 | Hearts Win | 0:1 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:2 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Kilmarnock Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Oct 2024 | Kilmarnock Win | 1:2 |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Motherwell | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aberdeen | 1:0 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Dundee United | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Dundee | 4:0 | W |
| 29 Oct 2025 | St Mirren | 2:2 | D |
Kilmarnock - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Dundee United | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Motherwell | 1:3 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Celtic | 4:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Falkirk | 3:1 | L |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Aberdeen | 0:1 | L |