Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts wins |
57.63%
±13.59%
|
1.42 | -18.2% |
| Draw |
27.67%
±5.59%
|
4.30 | +19.0% |
| St Mirren wins |
14.7%
±8.17%
|
7.13 | +4.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hearts
St Mirren
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hearts
St Mirren
Shots
12.8
13.2
Shots On Target
3.5
3.8
Corners
5.5
6.1
Fouls
11.2
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hearts
St Mirren
Shots
12.1
11.1
Shots On Target
4.3
3.6
Corners
5.3
6.0
Fouls
10.5
13.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hearts Wins
4Draws
3St Mirren Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Hearts Win | 3:1 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Hearts Win | 4:0 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | St Mirren Win | 2:1 |
| 15 May 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Dundee | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Hibernian | 3:2 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Rangers | 2:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Falkirk | 0:2 | W |
St Mirren - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Falkirk | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Motherwell | 2:0 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Rangers | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Kilmarnock | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Livingston | 1:0 | W |