Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar
Final Result
3:1
Heerenveen to win
Our Prediction
Missed
47.8%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Heerenveen wins |
22.86%
±11.5%
|
2.89 | -33.9% |
| Draw |
29.31%
±2.67%
|
3.90 | +14.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
47.83%
±13.67%
|
2.23 | +6.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
15.1
18.0
Shots On Target
5.1
6.9
Corners
5.3
6.4
Fouls
10.8
11.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Shots
11.3
16.2
Shots On Target
3.3
6.9
Corners
2.8
6.0
Fouls
8.8
8.2
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Heerenveen Wins
1Draws
2AZ Alkmaar Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2025 | Heerenveen Win | 3:1 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 9:1 |
| 28 Jan 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 3:0 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Heerenveen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | For Sittard | 2:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Oct 2025 | NAC Breda | 3:3 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:3 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Excelsior | 2:1 | W |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 1:5 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Utrecht | 4:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:1 | W |