Hoffenheim vs Leverkusen
Final Result
1:0
Hoffenheim to win
Our Prediction
Missed
36%
Leverkusen to win
±13.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins |
33.96%
±13.8%
|
2.38 | -19.4% |
| Draw |
30%
±1.67%
|
3.80 | +14.0% |
| Leverkusen wins |
36.05%
±13.32%
|
2.70 | -2.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hoffenheim
Leverkusen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hoffenheim
Leverkusen
Shots
12.9
16.0
Shots On Target
4.8
5.0
Corners
4.8
5.9
Fouls
14.9
8.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hoffenheim
Leverkusen
Shots
10.7
14.7
Shots On Target
4.8
6.1
Corners
3.3
5.8
Fouls
11.2
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hoffenheim Wins
2Draws
2Leverkusen Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Hoffenheim Win | 1:2 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Leverkusen Win | 3:1 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 1:4 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 2:1 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 2:3 |
Hoffenheim - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 5:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Stuttgart | 0:0 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Hamburg | 4:1 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Dortmund | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Augsburg | 3:0 | W |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Stuttgart | 1:4 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | RB Leipzig | 1:3 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Augsburg | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Dortmund | 1:2 | L |