Bundesliga 28 Feb 2026 09:30 Match Finished

Hoffenheim vs St Pauli

Our Prediction Missed
62.5% Hoffenheim to win

±13.1%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Hoffenheim wins
62.49% ±13.1%
1.48 -7.2%
Draw
23.68% ±5.32%
4.63 +9.5%
St Pauli wins
13.84% ±7.91%
6.13 -15.2%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Hoffenheim
St Pauli

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Hoffenheim
St Pauli
Shots 13.4 9.4
Shots On Target 5.4 3.7
Corners 4.9 4.1
Fouls 13.2 9.5
Yellow Cards 2.2 1.1
Red Cards 0.2 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Hoffenheim
St Pauli
Shots 10.0 9.0
Shots On Target 3.7 3.3
Corners 5.3 7.3
Fouls 11.7 8.7
Yellow Cards 1.3 1.0
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Hoffenheim Wins

1

Draws

0

St Pauli Wins

2
Date Result Score
19 Oct 2025 Hoffenheim Win 0:3
14 Mar 2025 St Pauli Win 1:0
2 Nov 2024 St Pauli Win 0:2

Hoffenheim - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 FC Koln 2:2 D
14 Feb 2026 Freiburg 3:0 W
8 Feb 2026 Bayern Munich 5:1 L
31 Jan 2026 Union Berlin 3:1 W
27 Jan 2026 Werder Bremen 0:2 W

St Pauli - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
22 Feb 2026 Werder Bremen 2:1 W
14 Feb 2026 Leverkusen 4:0 L
7 Feb 2026 Stuttgart 2:1 W
31 Jan 2026 Augsburg 2:1 L
27 Jan 2026 RB Leipzig 1:1 D