Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hull wins |
38.76%
±14.47%
|
2.53 | -2.1% |
| Draw |
28.56%
±2.06%
|
3.25 | -7.2% |
| Derby wins |
32.68%
±13.1%
|
2.73 | -10.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hull
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hull
Derby
Shots
11.1
10.9
Shots On Target
4.3
3.5
Corners
4.7
4.3
Fouls
11.6
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hull
Derby
Shots
10.2
10.8
Shots On Target
2.3
3.3
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.5
4.0
Fouls
10.7
11.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hull Wins
0Draws
1Derby Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2025 | Derby Win | 2:1 |
| 26 Apr 2025 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 8 Feb 2022 | Derby Win | 3:1 |
| 18 Aug 2021 | Derby Win | 0:1 |
Hull - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | QPR | 1:3 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bristol City | 2:3 | L |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Watford | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Blackburn | 0:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Swansea | 2:1 | W |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Watford | 2:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Swansea | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Ipswich | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Bristol City | 0:5 | W |
| 23 Jan 2026 | West Brom | 1:1 | D |