Serie A 7 Jan 2026 14:45 Match Finished

Lazio vs Fiorentina

Final Result

2:2

Match ended in a draw

Rating Change

Lazio -1.8
Fiorentina -0.1
Our Prediction Missed
42.8% Lazio to win

±14.6%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Lazio wins
42.82% ±14.56%
2.39 +2.1%
Draw
29.35% ±2.91%
3.10 -9.0%
Fiorentina wins
27.83% ±12.12%
3.15 -12.3%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Lazio
Fiorentina

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Lazio
Fiorentina
Shots 11.3 15.2
Shots On Target 4.5 3.8
Corners 4.3 5.2
Fouls 10.9 12.6
Yellow Cards 2.5 2.4
Red Cards 0.5 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Lazio
Fiorentina
Shots 11.7 12.9
Shots On Target 3.9 4.6
Corners 4.6 5.9
Fouls 12.5 13.6
Yellow Cards 3.2 2.8
Red Cards 0.1 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Lazio Wins

5

Draws

1

Fiorentina Wins

4
Date Result Score
26 Jan 2025 Fiorentina Win 1:2
22 Sep 2024 Fiorentina Win 2:1
26 Feb 2024 Fiorentina Win 2:1
30 Oct 2023 Lazio Win 1:0
29 Jan 2023 Draw 1:1

Lazio - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
4 Jan 2026 Napoli 0:2 L
27 Dec 2025 Udinese 1:1 D
20 Dec 2025 Cremonese 0:0 D
13 Dec 2025 Parma 0:1 W
7 Dec 2025 Bologna 1:1 D

Fiorentina - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
4 Jan 2026 Cremonese 1:0 W
27 Dec 2025 Parma 1:0 L
21 Dec 2025 Udinese 5:1 W
14 Dec 2025 Verona 1:2 L
6 Dec 2025 Sassuolo 3:1 L