Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins Top Bet |
30.08%
±13.18%
|
4.38 | +31.7% |
| Draw |
29.99%
±1.69%
|
3.29 | -1.4% |
| Bologna wins |
39.93%
±13.56%
|
1.91 | -23.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lecce
Bologna
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lecce
Bologna
Shots
8.6
12.3
Shots On Target
3.8
3.6
Corners
3.1
3.9
Fouls
11.9
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lecce
Bologna
Shots
11.8
13.6
Shots On Target
3.7
5.2
Corners
4.7
6.4
Fouls
13.1
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lecce Wins
0Draws
3Bologna Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Bologna Win | 2:0 |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 9 Feb 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 2 Nov 2024 | Bologna Win | 1:0 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Bologna Win | 4:0 |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Milan | 3:0 | L |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Monza | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Cagliari | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Roma | 0:4 | L |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Venezia | 0:2 | W |
Bologna - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Torino | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Napoli | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Sassuolo | 2:2 | D |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Atalanta | 1:0 | L |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Lazio | 0:1 | L |