Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins |
16.34%
±9.08%
|
5.13 | -16.3% |
| Draw |
27.78%
±3.89%
|
3.40 | -5.6% |
| Roma wins |
55.89%
±12.69%
|
1.76 | -1.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lecce
Roma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lecce
Roma
Shots
10.4
13.1
Shots On Target
2.8
4.7
Corners
5.3
5.1
Fouls
12.8
13.7
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lecce
Roma
Shots
11.3
16.5
Shots On Target
3.5
6.5
Corners
3.7
7.2
Fouls
12.5
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lecce Wins
0Draws
2Roma Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2025 | Roma Win | 0:1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Roma Win | 4:1 |
| 1 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Roma Win | 2:1 |
| 11 Feb 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Lecce - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Como | 0:3 | L |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Pisa | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Cremonese | 2:0 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Torino | 2:1 | W |
Roma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Atalanta | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Genoa | 3:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Juventus | 2:1 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Como | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Cagliari | 1:0 | L |