Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins |
16.41%
±9.17%
|
4.22 | -30.8% |
| Draw |
28.14%
±3.9%
|
3.95 | +11.2% |
| Chelsea wins |
55.44%
±12.78%
|
1.79 | -0.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Chelsea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leeds
Chelsea
Shots
12.1
14.0
Shots On Target
4.2
5.5
Corners
3.7
6.1
Fouls
11.2
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Chelsea
Shots
9.2
16.3
Shots On Target
3.3
5.8
Corners
4.3
5.7
Fouls
12.2
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
0.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
1Draws
1Chelsea Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2023 | Chelsea Win | 1:0 |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Leeds Win | 3:0 |
| 11 May 2022 | Chelsea Win | 0:3 |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Chelsea Win | 3:2 |
| 13 Mar 2021 | Draw | 0:0 |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3:2 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Brighton | 3:0 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | West Ham | 2:1 | W |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Burnley | 0:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Wolves | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sunderland | 1:2 | L |