Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins |
19.64%
±10.59%
|
3.95 | -22.4% |
| Draw |
27.62%
±3.29%
|
3.90 | +7.7% |
| Liverpool wins |
52.74%
±13.52%
|
1.84 | -3.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Liverpool
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leeds
Liverpool
Shots
12.8
15.6
Shots On Target
4.4
3.8
Corners
3.8
5.1
Fouls
10.7
10.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Liverpool
Shots
9.5
21.2
Shots On Target
3.8
9.0
Corners
3.5
8.0
Fouls
8.7
9.7
Yellow Cards
1.3
0.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
1Draws
1Liverpool Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2023 | Liverpool Win | 1:6 |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Leeds Win | 1:2 |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Liverpool Win | 6:0 |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Liverpool Win | 0:3 |
| 19 Apr 2021 | Draw | 1:1 |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 3:1 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3:2 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Brighton | 3:0 | L |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
| 30 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 0:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 0:3 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:0 | W |