Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester wins |
47.27%
±14.61%
|
2.08 | -1.9% |
| Draw |
27.51%
±3.37%
|
3.28 | -9.9% |
| Derby wins |
25.22%
±11.58%
|
3.50 | -11.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leicester
Derby
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leicester
Derby
Shots
9.4
10.6
Shots On Target
3.3
3.8
Corners
3.3
5.7
Fouls
13.1
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leicester
Derby
Shots
5.0
18.0
Shots On Target
4.0
5.0
Corners
3.0
6.0
Fouls
11.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leicester Wins
1Draws
0Derby Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Leicester Win | 1:3 |
Leicester - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | Watford | 1:2 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | QPR | 4:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Ipswich | 3:1 | W |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Derby | 1:3 | W |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Portsmouth | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 0:3 | W |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Millwall | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 1:3 | L |