Leverkusen vs Freiburg
Final Result
2:0
Leverkusen to win
Our Prediction
Correct
50.1%
Leverkusen to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen wins |
50.09%
±14.53%
|
1.80 | -9.8% |
| Draw |
28.05%
±4.07%
|
3.90 | +9.4% |
| Freiburg wins |
21.86%
±10.73%
|
4.17 | -9.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Shots
13.3
11.7
Shots On Target
5.4
3.4
Corners
4.0
3.9
Fouls
10.7
8.6
Yellow Cards
3.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leverkusen
Freiburg
Shots
15.1
9.1
Shots On Target
5.5
3.3
Corners
6.8
3.9
Fouls
10.1
10.3
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leverkusen Wins
5Draws
2Freiburg Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 5:1 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 2:3 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 2:1 |
| 26 Feb 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Mainz | 3:4 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Union Berlin | 2:0 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | St Pauli | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:1 | W |
Freiburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Werder Bremen | 0:3 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Stuttgart | 3:1 | W |