Leverkusen vs Mainz
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
54.8%
Leverkusen to win
±14.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen wins |
54.77%
±14.48%
|
1.71 | -6.6% |
| Draw |
26.35%
±4.69%
|
4.05 | +6.7% |
| Mainz wins |
18.89%
±9.99%
|
4.45 | -16.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leverkusen
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leverkusen
Mainz
Shots
13.8
11.9
Shots On Target
4.0
4.9
Corners
5.6
5.3
Fouls
8.7
9.6
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leverkusen
Mainz
Shots
13.2
12.6
Shots On Target
6.3
4.1
Corners
4.3
3.6
Fouls
11.0
14.8
Yellow Cards
3.3
3.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leverkusen Wins
6Draws
2Mainz Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen Win | 3:4 |
| 17 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Leverkusen Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 0:3 |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Union Berlin | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | St Pauli | 4:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:3 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Werder Bremen | 1:0 | W |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Hamburg | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Dortmund | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Augsburg | 2:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | W |