Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins |
29.38%
±13.05%
|
2.38 | -30.2% |
| Draw |
31.96%
±1.76%
|
3.50 | +11.9% |
| Marseille wins |
38.65%
±13.44%
|
2.85 | +10.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lille
Marseille
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lille
Marseille
Shots
15.4
15.0
Shots On Target
5.0
6.5
Corners
6.9
4.8
Fouls
13.7
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lille
Marseille
Shots
12.0
10.3
Shots On Target
4.5
3.5
Corners
5.0
4.6
Fouls
13.2
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lille Wins
4Draws
5Marseille Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 5 Apr 2024 | Lille Win | 3:1 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 20 May 2023 | Lille Win | 2:1 |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 0:1 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 4:2 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Strasbourg | 2:0 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Angers | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Nice | 2:0 | L |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Toulouse | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nice | 1:5 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Brest | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Auxerre | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Angers | 2:2 | D |