Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins |
70.37%
±11.48%
|
1.31 | -7.8% |
| Draw |
20.26%
±5.63%
|
5.50 | +11.4% |
| Metz wins |
9.37%
±5.93%
|
9.38 | -12.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lille
Metz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lille
Metz
Shots
16.4
7.1
Shots On Target
4.6
1.9
Corners
6.2
3.8
Fouls
13.4
11.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lille
Metz
Shots
14.3
9.0
Shots On Target
5.0
3.2
Corners
6.0
3.5
Fouls
10.8
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lille Wins
4Draws
2Metz Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr 2024 | Lille Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Lille Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Feb 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 8 Aug 2021 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 9 Apr 2021 | Lille Win | 0:2 |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Nantes | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Paris SG | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Lyon | 0:1 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Lens | 3:0 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Toulouse | 2:1 | W |
Metz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Toulouse | 4:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Marseille | 0:3 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Le Havre | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Monaco | 5:2 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Angers | 1:1 | D |