Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
77.81%
±9.21%
|
1.23 | -4.3% |
| Draw |
15.91%
±5.07%
|
6.50 | +3.4% |
| Burnley wins |
6.27%
±4.2%
|
11.00 | -31.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Liverpool
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Liverpool
Burnley
Shots
14.6
9.7
Shots On Target
3.8
2.8
Corners
5.1
4.7
Fouls
9.2
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Liverpool
Burnley
Shots
22.5
7.5
Shots On Target
6.9
2.8
Corners
9.1
3.6
Fouls
8.4
8.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
0.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Liverpool Wins
6Draws
1Burnley Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2025 | Liverpool Win | 0:1 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Liverpool Win | 3:1 |
| 26 Dec 2023 | Liverpool Win | 0:2 |
| 13 Feb 2022 | Liverpool Win | 0:1 |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Man United | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Brighton | 2:0 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 1:3 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Everton | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 1:1 | D |