Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
58.72%
±13.66%
|
1.54 | -9.6% |
| Draw |
24.51%
±4.81%
|
4.50 | +10.3% |
| Leeds wins |
16.77%
±9.04%
|
5.50 | -7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Liverpool
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Liverpool
Leeds
Shots
15.0
13.5
Shots On Target
4.2
4.7
Corners
4.7
4.8
Fouls
10.7
10.6
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Liverpool
Leeds
Shots
20.4
9.9
Shots On Target
8.7
4.0
Corners
7.4
3.7
Fouls
10.3
9.4
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Liverpool Wins
4Draws
2Leeds Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Dec 2025 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Liverpool Win | 1:6 |
| 29 Oct 2022 | Leeds Win | 1:2 |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Liverpool Win | 6:0 |
| 12 Sep 2021 | Liverpool Win | 0:3 |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Brighton | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Leeds | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 4:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Liverpool | 3:3 | D |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 3:1 | W |