Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins |
45.6%
±14.95%
|
1.80 | -17.9% |
| Draw |
29.33%
±3.52%
|
3.95 | +15.9% |
| Newcastle wins |
25.06%
±11.8%
|
4.05 | +1.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Liverpool
Newcastle
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Liverpool
Newcastle
Shots
16.2
14.6
Shots On Target
4.4
5.4
Corners
6.1
7.6
Fouls
8.2
7.6
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Liverpool
Newcastle
Shots
18.1
9.2
Shots On Target
7.1
3.4
Corners
7.0
3.1
Fouls
11.6
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Liverpool Wins
8Draws
2Newcastle Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:3 |
| 26 Feb 2025 | Liverpool Win | 2:0 |
| 4 Dec 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 1 Jan 2024 | Liverpool Win | 4:2 |
| 27 Aug 2023 | Liverpool Win | 1:2 |
Liverpool - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bournemouth | 3:2 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Burnley | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:0 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 0:0 | D |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:2 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Leeds | 4:3 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 1:3 | W |