Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins |
41.13%
±14.81%
|
1.90 | -22.1% |
| Draw |
30.73%
±2.9%
|
3.70 | +13.7% |
| Lille wins |
28.13%
±12.4%
|
3.85 | +8.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lyon
Lille
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lyon
Lille
Shots
12.6
12.1
Shots On Target
5.6
4.4
Corners
5.0
5.6
Fouls
12.7
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.8
Red Cards
0.4
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lyon
Lille
Shots
10.1
12.5
Shots On Target
3.8
4.6
Corners
4.5
4.6
Fouls
14.2
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lyon Wins
4Draws
3Lille Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Lyon Win | 0:1 |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Lyon Win | 2:1 |
| 1 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 6 May 2024 | Lyon Win | 3:4 |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Lille Win | 0:2 |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Metz | 2:5 | W |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Brest | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Monaco | 1:3 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Le Havre | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Lorient | 1:0 | L |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:4 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Paris SG | 3:0 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rennes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Auxerre | 3:4 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1:0 | W |