Mainz vs Hoffenheim
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
35.4%
Hoffenheim to win
±13.1%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
34.48%
±13.72%
|
2.53 | -12.9% |
| Draw |
30.09%
±1.72%
|
3.60 | +8.3% |
| Hoffenheim wins |
35.43%
±13.1%
|
2.70 | -4.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Hoffenheim
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Hoffenheim
Shots
11.8
12.8
Shots On Target
2.8
5.0
Corners
5.0
5.5
Fouls
13.3
15.1
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Hoffenheim
Shots
14.6
12.0
Shots On Target
5.1
3.7
Corners
7.8
4.1
Fouls
13.8
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
6Draws
2Hoffenheim Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Hoffenheim Win | 2:0 |
| 1 Dec 2024 | Mainz Win | 2:0 |
| 13 Apr 2024 | Mainz Win | 4:1 |
| 26 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Mainz Win | 1:0 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 3:4 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Hamburg | 4:0 | L |
Hoffenheim - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | RB Leipzig | 3:1 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Wolfsburg | 2:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Heidenheim | 3:1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | St Pauli | 0:3 | W |
| 3 Oct 2025 | FC Koln | 0:1 | L |