Mainz vs Leverkusen
Final Result
3:4
Leverkusen to win
Our Prediction
Correct
42.7%
Leverkusen to win
±13.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
26.88%
±12.45%
|
2.83 | -24.1% |
| Draw |
30.43%
±1.97%
|
3.40 | +3.5% |
| Leverkusen wins |
42.69%
±13.57%
|
2.43 | +3.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Leverkusen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Leverkusen
Shots
13.3
12.2
Shots On Target
2.8
5.0
Corners
6.3
4.2
Fouls
11.3
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
3.2
Red Cards
0.5
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Leverkusen
Shots
12.0
12.5
Shots On Target
3.8
5.7
Corners
3.8
5.1
Fouls
13.8
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
2Draws
2Leverkusen Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 14 Jan 2025 | Leverkusen Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Leverkusen Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Leverkusen Win | 0:3 |
| 19 Feb 2023 | Mainz Win | 2:3 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Hamburg | 4:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dortmund | 0:2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Augsburg | 1:4 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | RB Leipzig | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Wolfsburg | 1:1 | D |
Leverkusen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Union Berlin | 2:0 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | St Pauli | 1:2 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | M'gladbach | 1:1 | D |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Werder Bremen | 3:3 | D |