Mainz vs M'gladbach
Final Result
0:1
M'gladbach to win
Our Prediction
Missed
37.9%
Mainz to win
±14.2%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
37.9%
±14.23%
|
2.50 | -5.3% |
| Draw |
28.77%
±1.97%
|
3.40 | -2.2% |
| M'gladbach wins |
33.33%
±13.01%
|
2.69 | -10.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
M'gladbach
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
M'gladbach
Shots
10.0
10.9
Shots On Target
2.7
4.5
Corners
4.1
4.1
Fouls
13.7
11.7
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.5
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
M'gladbach
Shots
16.3
13.7
Shots On Target
7.0
5.6
Corners
5.4
4.6
Fouls
14.4
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
4Draws
5M'gladbach Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2025 | Mainz Win | 1:3 |
| 25 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 6 Oct 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 24 Feb 2023 | Mainz Win | 4:0 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 4:0 | L |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 1:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | L |
M'gladbach - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2025 | RB Leipzig | 0:0 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Heidenheim | 0:3 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | FC Koln | 3:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | St Pauli | 0:4 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Bayern Munich | 0:3 | L |