Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
23.34%
±11.48%
|
3.10 | -27.6% |
| Draw |
29.32%
±2.54%
|
3.68 | +7.7% |
| Stuttgart wins |
47.35%
±13.47%
|
2.15 | +1.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Stuttgart
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Stuttgart
Shots
12.2
14.4
Shots On Target
5.1
6.6
Corners
5.5
4.8
Fouls
10.1
8.8
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Stuttgart
Shots
12.2
13.0
Shots On Target
3.7
5.8
Corners
5.3
4.4
Fouls
14.6
9.5
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
1Draws
3Stuttgart Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Stuttgart Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Mainz Win | 2:0 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Stuttgart Win | 3:1 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Stuttgart Win | 1:3 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leverkusen | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Hamburg | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Dortmund | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Augsburg | 2:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:2 | W |
Stuttgart - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Wolfsburg | 4:0 | W |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 3:3 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | FC Koln | 3:1 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | St Pauli | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Freiburg | 1:0 | W |