Mainz vs Werder Bremen
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
46.6%
Mainz to win
±14.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
46.58%
±14.81%
|
1.98 | -8.0% |
| Draw |
27.32%
±3.25%
|
3.85 | +5.2% |
| Werder Bremen wins |
26.1%
±11.92%
|
3.45 | -9.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Werder Bremen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Werder Bremen
Shots
13.1
12.1
Shots On Target
2.9
4.6
Corners
5.6
3.4
Fouls
12.5
8.9
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.8
Red Cards
0.4
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Werder Bremen
Shots
14.0
12.7
Shots On Target
5.3
4.7
Corners
5.9
4.1
Fouls
13.7
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
3Draws
1Werder Bremen Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2025 | Werder Bremen Win | 1:0 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Werder Bremen Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Werder Bremen Win | 0:1 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Werder Bremen Win | 4:0 |
| 8 Apr 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Stuttgart | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 3:4 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Hamburg | 4:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Dortmund | 0:2 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Augsburg | 1:4 | W |
Werder Bremen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | Union Berlin | 1:0 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Heidenheim | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | St Pauli | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Bayern Munich | 4:0 | L |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Freiburg | 0:3 | L |