Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
40.37%
±14.7%
|
2.30 | -7.2% |
| Draw |
28.8%
±2.4%
|
3.55 | +2.2% |
| Wolfsburg wins |
30.83%
±12.88%
|
2.94 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Wolfsburg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Wolfsburg
Shots
9.0
11.2
Shots On Target
3.3
5.0
Corners
4.1
3.8
Fouls
11.2
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Wolfsburg
Shots
11.8
11.7
Shots On Target
3.9
3.7
Corners
5.7
3.6
Fouls
15.4
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
3Draws
3Wolfsburg Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 19 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | Wolfsburg Win | 4:3 |
| 18 May 2024 | Mainz Win | 1:3 |
| 13 Jan 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
Wolfsburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 8:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Freiburg | 3:4 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 1:3 | W |