Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaga wins |
44.92%
±14.76%
|
2.05 | -7.7% |
| Draw |
27.55%
±2.98%
|
2.98 | -18.0% |
| Burgos wins |
27.53%
±12.18%
|
3.80 | +4.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malaga
Burgos
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Malaga
Burgos
Shots
13.5
10.0
Shots On Target
6.3
3.0
Corners
4.4
4.5
Fouls
12.1
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Malaga
Burgos
Shots
11.0
9.3
Shots On Target
2.8
2.5
Corners
5.0
3.8
Fouls
13.2
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.3
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Malaga Wins
0Draws
3Burgos Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2025 | Burgos Win | 2:1 |
| 31 May 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 21 Jan 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 14 Aug 2022 | Burgos Win | 1:0 |
Malaga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Cordoba | 0:1 | W |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Ceuta | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Sp Gijon | 1:3 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Albacete | 1:3 | W |
Burgos - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Huesca | 1:0 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Eibar | 1:0 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Cordoba | 2:0 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Zaragoza | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Almeria | 1:2 | W |