Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova wins |
41.54%
±15.11%
|
2.48 | +2.8% |
| Draw |
25.76%
±2.12%
|
3.13 | -19.5% |
| Carrarese wins |
32.7%
±13.55%
|
2.90 | -5.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mantova
Carrarese
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mantova
Carrarese
Shots
12.3
13.3
Shots On Target
3.7
4.3
Corners
5.2
5.6
Fouls
15.8
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mantova
Carrarese
Shots
8.0
17.0
Shots On Target
1.5
4.5
Corners
4.0
6.0
Fouls
17.5
15.5
Yellow Cards
3.0
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mantova Wins
1Draws
2Carrarese Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 9 May 2025 | Mantova Win | 2:1 |
| 20 Oct 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
Mantova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Sampdoria | 2:1 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Catanzaro | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Reggiana | 1:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Bari | 2:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Pescara | 2:2 | D |
Carrarese - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Monza | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Modena | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Padova | 1:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Sudtirol | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Venezia | 2:1 | L |