Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
44.49%
±14.62%
|
1.96 | -12.6% |
| Draw |
29.63%
±3.3%
|
3.68 | +8.9% |
| Lyon wins |
25.88%
±11.71%
|
3.65 | -5.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Lyon
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Lyon
Shots
14.2
11.7
Shots On Target
5.2
5.0
Corners
4.0
4.6
Fouls
13.3
13.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Lyon
Shots
10.1
11.6
Shots On Target
3.8
4.2
Corners
5.0
4.8
Fouls
10.8
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
5Draws
1Lyon Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2025 | Lyon Win | 1:0 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Marseille Win | 3:2 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:3 |
| 4 Feb 2024 | Lyon Win | 1:0 |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Marseille Win | 3:0 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Brest | 2:0 | L |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Strasbourg | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Paris SG | 5:0 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Paris FC | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Lens | 3:1 | W |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Strasbourg | 3:1 | L |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Nice | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Nantes | 0:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Lille | 1:0 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Metz | 2:5 | W |