Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins Top Bet |
13.61%
±7.96%
|
6.63 | -9.8% |
| Draw |
25.65%
±4.29%
|
5.13 | +31.4% |
| Paris SG wins |
60.74%
±12.05%
|
1.42 | -14.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Paris SG
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Paris SG
Shots
16.3
15.8
Shots On Target
5.9
5.3
Corners
5.3
5.8
Fouls
11.9
5.8
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Paris SG
Shots
11.7
14.4
Shots On Target
3.3
5.5
Corners
4.2
4.5
Fouls
12.6
9.8
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
1Draws
1Paris SG Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Paris SG Win | 5:0 |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Marseille Win | 1:0 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Paris SG Win | 3:1 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Paris SG Win | 0:3 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Paris SG Win | 0:2 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep 2026 | Rennes | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Paris FC | 2:3 | L |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Monaco | 2:0 | L |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Strasbourg | 4:0 | W |
| 17 May 2026 | Rennes | 3:1 | W |
Paris SG - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Brest | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Monaco | 1:2 | L |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Lille | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Rennes | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Rennes | 2:2 | D |