Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mechelen wins |
26.1%
±12.4%
|
3.40 | -11.3% |
| Draw |
27.89%
±2.1%
|
3.60 | +0.4% |
| Genk wins |
46.01%
±13.88%
|
2.08 | -4.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mechelen
Genk
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mechelen
Genk
Shots
10.6
16.1
Shots On Target
3.7
6.4
Corners
5.1
5.6
Fouls
11.8
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mechelen
Genk
Shots
10.4
15.2
Shots On Target
3.6
5.6
Corners
4.4
5.6
Fouls
11.2
7.6
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mechelen Wins
1Draws
4Genk Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Mechelen Win | 0:1 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Genk Win | 1:2 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Genk Win | 2:1 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 22 Oct 2023 | Genk Win | 4:0 |
Mechelen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Antwerp | 2:0 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Westerlo | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | St. Gilloise | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Dender | 1:1 | D |
Genk - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Feb 2026 | Anderlecht | 2:0 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Dender | 1:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Cercle Brugge | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Waregem | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Club Brugge | 3:5 | L |