Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins |
30.28%
±13.61%
|
3.50 | +6.0% |
| Draw |
28.65%
±1.68%
|
3.40 | -2.6% |
| Brest wins |
41.07%
±14.11%
|
2.10 | -13.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Metz
Brest
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Metz
Brest
Shots
8.9
10.8
Shots On Target
2.9
4.1
Corners
3.3
3.5
Fouls
11.2
14.8
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Metz
Brest
Shots
9.6
13.6
Shots On Target
4.0
4.7
Corners
4.0
5.1
Fouls
13.7
13.4
Yellow Cards
2.6
1.3
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Metz Wins
2Draws
0Brest Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Brest Win | 3:2 |
| 7 Apr 2024 | Brest Win | 4:3 |
| 10 Dec 2023 | Brest Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Apr 2022 | Brest Win | 0:1 |
| 26 Sep 2021 | Metz Win | 1:2 |
Metz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Paris SG | 3:0 | L |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Auxerre | 1:3 | L |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Lille | 0:0 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Angers | 1:0 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 2:5 | L |
Brest - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Marseille | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Lille | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Lorient | 2:0 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Nice | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Toulouse | 0:2 | L |