Ligue 1 29 Oct 2025 14:00 Match Finished

Metz vs Lens

Final Result

2:0

Metz to win

Rating Change

Metz -3.6
Lens +0.9
Our Prediction Missed
60.8% Lens to win

±12.1%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Metz wins
14.09% ±8.17%
6.13 -13.7%
Draw
25.07% ±4.15%
4.50 +12.8%
Lens wins
60.84% ±12.1%
1.50 -8.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Metz
Lens

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Metz
Lens
Shots 7.4 13.2
Shots On Target 2.1 4.6
Corners 4.2 6.2
Fouls 11.3 12.7
Yellow Cards 1.1 2.3
Red Cards 0.2 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Metz
Lens
Shots 7.8 17.2
Shots On Target 3.7 4.3
Corners 4.3 5.0
Fouls 12.0 12.8
Yellow Cards 2.7 2.5
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Metz Wins

3

Draws

2

Lens Wins

1
Date Result Score
12 Apr 2024 Metz Win 2:1
16 Sep 2023 Metz Win 0:1
13 Mar 2022 Draw 0:0
24 Oct 2021 Lens Win 4:1
14 Mar 2021 Draw 2:2

Metz - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
26 Oct 2025 Lille 6:1 L
19 Oct 2025 Toulouse 4:0 L
4 Oct 2025 Marseille 0:3 L
28 Sep 2025 Le Havre 0:0 D
21 Sep 2025 Monaco 5:2 L

Lens - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
25 Oct 2025 Marseille 2:1 W
19 Oct 2025 Paris FC 2:1 W
4 Oct 2025 Auxerre 1:2 W
28 Sep 2025 Rennes 0:0 D
20 Sep 2025 Lille 3:0 W