Middlesbrough vs Southampton
Final Result
4:0
Middlesbrough to win
Our Prediction
Correct
43.6%
Middlesbrough to win
±14.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins |
43.65%
±14.71%
|
2.13 | -7.3% |
| Draw |
27.69%
±2.74%
|
3.60 | -0.3% |
| Southampton wins |
28.66%
±12.41%
|
3.15 | -9.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Shots
17.2
15.7
Shots On Target
4.3
5.9
Corners
8.0
6.0
Fouls
9.8
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Shots
9.7
14.0
Shots On Target
3.0
4.0
Corners
4.3
7.0
Fouls
15.7
7.7
Yellow Cards
4.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Middlesbrough Wins
1Draws
2Southampton Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 29 Mar 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Middlesbrough Win | 2:1 |
Middlesbrough - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Derby | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Hull | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Blackburn | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 2:0 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | QPR | 3:1 | W |
Southampton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | Millwall | 0:0 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Oxford | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Coventry | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 2:1 | L |