Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
67.24%
±12.23%
|
1.44 | -3.5% |
| Draw |
21.97%
±5.69%
|
4.50 | -1.1% |
| Genoa wins |
10.79%
±6.65%
|
7.38 | -20.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Genoa
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Genoa
Shots
12.8
11.5
Shots On Target
4.8
4.2
Corners
4.7
3.3
Fouls
8.9
12.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Genoa
Shots
15.9
7.2
Shots On Target
4.6
2.5
Corners
6.1
2.8
Fouls
11.9
13.0
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
5Draws
3Genoa Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 May 2025 | Milan Win | 1:2 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 May 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 7 Oct 2023 | Milan Win | 0:1 |
| 15 Apr 2022 | Milan Win | 2:0 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jan 2026 | Cagliari | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Verona | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sassuolo | 2:2 | D |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Torino | 2:3 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Lazio | 1:0 | W |
Genoa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Pisa | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Roma | 3:1 | L |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Atalanta | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Inter | 1:2 | L |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Udinese | 1:2 | W |