Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
52.2%
±14.72%
|
1.62 | -15.7% |
| Draw |
27.69%
±4.57%
|
3.78 | +4.5% |
| Lazio wins |
20.11%
±10.39%
|
5.75 | +15.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Lazio
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Lazio
Shots
12.0
10.5
Shots On Target
4.4
4.2
Corners
3.4
3.3
Fouls
10.0
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Lazio
Shots
13.9
11.1
Shots On Target
4.8
4.7
Corners
5.8
3.0
Fouls
12.2
11.7
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
6Draws
1Lazio Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2025 | Lazio Win | 1:2 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 1 Mar 2024 | Milan Win | 0:1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Milan Win | 2:0 |
| 6 May 2023 | Milan Win | 2:0 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Inter | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Parma | 2:2 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Roma | 1:0 | W |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Atalanta | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Pisa | 2:2 | D |
Lazio - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Lecce | 2:0 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Inter | 2:0 | L |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Cagliari | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Pisa | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Juventus | 1:0 | W |