Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
70.66%
±11.5%
|
1.34 | -5.3% |
| Draw |
19.72%
±5.49%
|
5.00 | -1.4% |
| Parma wins |
9.62%
±6.1%
|
9.13 | -12.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Parma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Parma
Shots
12.2
12.0
Shots On Target
4.1
2.7
Corners
5.3
5.5
Fouls
9.4
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Parma
Shots
14.8
10.5
Shots On Target
6.5
4.5
Corners
7.0
4.2
Fouls
11.5
11.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
3Draws
2Parma Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 26 Jan 2025 | Milan Win | 3:2 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Parma Win | 2:1 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Milan Win | 1:3 |
| 13 Dec 2020 | Draw | 2:2 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | Como | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Pisa | 1:2 | W |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Bologna | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Roma | 1:1 | D |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 1:0 | W |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 | Verona | 2:1 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Bologna | 0:1 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Juventus | 1:4 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Atalanta | 4:0 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Genoa | 0:0 | D |