Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins |
54.25%
±14.35%
|
1.65 | -10.5% |
| Draw |
26.35%
±4.53%
|
4.27 | +12.4% |
| Lorient wins |
19.39%
±10.04%
|
4.68 | -9.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Monaco
Lorient
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Monaco
Lorient
Shots
12.7
12.7
Shots On Target
4.4
3.9
Corners
4.3
3.5
Fouls
13.4
8.8
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.0
Red Cards
0.4
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Monaco
Lorient
Shots
14.4
8.7
Shots On Target
5.3
4.1
Corners
6.8
3.6
Fouls
14.7
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Monaco Wins
2Draws
5Lorient Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Lorient Win | 3:1 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 16 Apr 2023 | Monaco Win | 3:1 |
| 11 Jan 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Monaco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Lyon | 1:3 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1:0 | L |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Brest | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Paris SG | 1:0 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Rennes | 4:1 | L |
Lorient - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Metz | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Strasbourg | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Lyon | 1:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Nice | 3:1 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Nantes | 1:1 | D |