Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins |
49.82%
±14.62%
|
1.83 | -9.1% |
| Draw |
28%
±4.05%
|
3.90 | +9.2% |
| Toulouse wins |
22.17%
±10.87%
|
4.00 | -11.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Monaco
Toulouse
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Monaco
Toulouse
Shots
12.0
12.8
Shots On Target
3.6
4.5
Corners
4.9
4.1
Fouls
12.6
14.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Monaco
Toulouse
Shots
18.2
13.8
Shots On Target
5.7
5.2
Corners
4.3
5.0
Fouls
13.5
13.5
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Monaco Wins
3Draws
1Toulouse Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Monaco Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Toulouse Win | 1:2 |
| 20 Dec 2023 | Monaco Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Jun 2023 | Toulouse Win | 1:2 |
Monaco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Angers | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Nice | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Lorient | 3:1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Metz | 5:2 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Auxerre | 1:2 | W |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Metz | 4:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Lyon | 1:2 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Nantes | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Auxerre | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Lille | 2:1 | L |