Moreirense vs Tondela
Final Result
1:0
Moreirense to win
Our Prediction
Correct
46.6%
Moreirense to win
±14.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moreirense wins |
46.58%
±14.84%
|
2.08 | -3.1% |
| Draw |
28.31%
±3.49%
|
3.23 | -8.7% |
| Tondela wins |
25.11%
±11.7%
|
3.65 | -8.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Moreirense
Tondela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Moreirense
Tondela
Shots
10.4
11.2
Shots On Target
4.0
3.2
Corners
4.2
4.3
Fouls
15.0
15.1
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Moreirense
Tondela
Shots
9.7
9.3
Shots On Target
3.2
3.7
Corners
4.2
2.0
Fouls
17.8
14.3
Yellow Cards
3.7
3.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Moreirense Wins
1Draws
2Tondela Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2022 | Moreirense Win | 2:0 |
| 3 Jan 2022 | Tondela Win | 2:1 |
| 17 Apr 2021 | Tondela Win | 2:3 |
| 19 Dec 2020 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 26 Jul 2020 | Tondela Win | 1:2 |
Moreirense - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | AVS | 0:2 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 0:4 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 3:3 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 2:2 | D |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Casa Pia | 1:2 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | W |