Motherwell vs Kilmarnock
Final Result
4:0
Motherwell to win
Our Prediction
Correct
59.7%
Motherwell to win
±13.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Motherwell wins |
59.66%
±13.3%
|
1.47 | -12.3% |
| Draw |
25.88%
±5.42%
|
4.17 | +7.8% |
| Kilmarnock wins |
14.46%
±8.03%
|
6.38 | -7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Shots
12.7
11.4
Shots On Target
5.2
3.7
Corners
3.1
3.8
Fouls
10.7
13.8
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
Shots
11.8
10.9
Shots On Target
4.1
3.7
Corners
5.3
5.2
Fouls
13.2
13.9
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Motherwell Wins
4Draws
4Kilmarnock Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Motherwell Win | 1:3 |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 14 May 2025 | Motherwell Win | 3:0 |
| 5 Apr 2025 | Kilmarnock Win | 2:0 |
| 8 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
Motherwell - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Hibernian | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | St Mirren | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Celtic | 2:0 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Rangers | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Dundee | 1:0 | W |
Kilmarnock - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Livingston | 1:1 | D |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Hibernian | 1:3 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Dundee | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Dec 2025 | St Mirren | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Falkirk | 0:1 | L |