Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional wins |
42.08%
±15.03%
|
2.28 | -4.3% |
| Draw |
27.91%
±2.55%
|
3.18 | -11.4% |
| Tondela wins |
30.01%
±13%
|
3.08 | -7.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nacional
Tondela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nacional
Tondela
Shots
11.6
12.0
Shots On Target
3.7
3.8
Corners
3.4
3.9
Fouls
13.9
15.1
Yellow Cards
2.8
3.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nacional
Tondela
Shots
10.5
9.5
Shots On Target
4.5
3.5
Corners
4.5
6.0
Fouls
18.0
16.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
4.0
Red Cards
0.5
1.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nacional Wins
1Draws
0Tondela Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2021 | Tondela Win | 2:1 |
| 27 Dec 2020 | Nacional Win | 2:0 |
Nacional - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Alverca | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Benfica | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Famalicao | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
Tondela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Porto | 0:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | AVS | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 0:3 | L |