Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins |
42.29%
±14.55%
|
2.23 | -5.9% |
| Draw |
30.61%
±3.06%
|
3.28 | +0.2% |
| Atalanta wins |
27.11%
±11.95%
|
3.40 | -7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Napoli
Atalanta
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Napoli
Atalanta
Shots
14.3
13.9
Shots On Target
5.3
3.9
Corners
6.2
5.7
Fouls
13.1
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Napoli
Atalanta
Shots
11.9
14.4
Shots On Target
5.4
4.7
Corners
4.3
4.9
Fouls
10.5
15.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
2.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Napoli Wins
6Draws
0Atalanta Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2025 | Napoli Win | 2:3 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Atalanta Win | 0:3 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Atalanta Win | 0:3 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Napoli Win | 1:2 |
| 11 Mar 2023 | Napoli Win | 2:0 |
Napoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Bologna | 2:0 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Como | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Lecce | 0:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Inter | 3:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Torino | 1:0 | L |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Sassuolo | 0:3 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Udinese | 1:0 | L |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Milan | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Cremonese | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Lazio | 0:0 | D |