Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins |
70.34%
±11.46%
|
1.32 | -7.1% |
| Draw |
20.7%
±5.82%
|
5.25 | +8.7% |
| Parma wins |
8.96%
±5.73%
|
9.63 | -13.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Napoli
Parma
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Napoli
Parma
Shots
11.0
12.6
Shots On Target
4.2
3.0
Corners
5.0
3.4
Fouls
10.8
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Napoli
Parma
Shots
15.8
6.8
Shots On Target
6.0
2.0
Corners
4.5
4.2
Fouls
12.8
11.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
3.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Napoli Wins
3Draws
1Parma Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 May 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Napoli Win | 2:1 |
| 31 Jan 2021 | Napoli Win | 2:0 |
| 20 Sep 2020 | Napoli Win | 0:2 |
| 22 Jul 2020 | Parma Win | 2:1 |
Napoli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Inter | 2:2 | D |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Verona | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Lazio | 0:2 | W |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Cremonese | 0:2 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Udinese | 1:0 | L |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 1:2 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Inter | 0:2 | L |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sassuolo | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Fiorentina | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Lazio | 0:1 | L |