Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
66.55%
±12.18%
|
1.28 | -14.8% |
| Draw |
21.92%
±5.44%
|
5.88 | +28.8% |
| Burnley wins |
11.53%
±6.86%
|
9.50 | +9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Newcastle
Burnley
Shots
12.2
8.5
Shots On Target
4.8
3.4
Corners
5.6
2.9
Fouls
10.1
10.3
Yellow Cards
0.8
1.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Burnley
Shots
15.9
12.3
Shots On Target
6.1
3.0
Corners
6.4
6.0
Fouls
10.1
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.4
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
6Draws
1Burnley Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 4 May 2024 | Newcastle Win | 1:4 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Newcastle Win | 2:0 |
| 22 May 2022 | Newcastle Win | 1:2 |
| 4 Dec 2021 | Newcastle Win | 1:0 |
| 11 Apr 2021 | Newcastle Win | 1:2 |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Everton | 1:4 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Man City | 2:1 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 3:1 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 3:1 | L |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Brentford | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 0:2 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | West Ham | 3:2 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 0:2 | L |