Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
30.68%
±13.22%
|
2.70 | -17.2% |
| Draw |
32.12%
±1.7%
|
3.55 | +14.0% |
| Chelsea wins |
37.2%
±13.29%
|
2.48 | -7.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Newcastle
Chelsea
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Newcastle
Chelsea
Shots
13.3
14.8
Shots On Target
5.3
5.6
Corners
6.2
5.1
Fouls
10.2
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Newcastle
Chelsea
Shots
10.5
13.2
Shots On Target
3.2
4.6
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
3.6
5.3
Fouls
12.4
12.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Newcastle Wins
3Draws
1Chelsea Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2025 | Newcastle Win | 2:0 |
| 27 Oct 2024 | Chelsea Win | 2:1 |
| 11 Mar 2024 | Chelsea Win | 3:2 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Newcastle Win | 4:1 |
| 28 May 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Everton | 1:4 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Man City | 2:1 | W |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 0:0 | D |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Leeds | 3:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Burnley | 0:2 | W |