Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford wins |
32.05%
±13.58%
|
3.13 | +0.1% |
| Draw |
28.54%
±1.54%
|
3.18 | -9.4% |
| Stoke wins |
39.42%
±13.69%
|
2.35 | -7.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Oxford
Stoke
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Oxford
Stoke
Shots
13.9
12.6
Shots On Target
3.8
4.0
Corners
3.1
5.6
Fouls
10.4
9.9
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Oxford
Stoke
Shots
13.5
8.0
Shots On Target
6.0
2.5
Corners
4.5
5.5
Fouls
7.5
10.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Oxford Wins
1Draws
1Stoke Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Oxford Win | 1:0 |
Oxford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Wrexham | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Derby | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Watford | 2:1 | L |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Bristol City | 5:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Portsmouth | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Millwall | 2:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Wrexham | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Blackburn | 1:1 | D |