Ligue 1 8 Feb 2026 14:45 Match Finished

Paris SG vs Marseille

Our Prediction Correct
56.3% Paris SG to win

±14.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Paris SG wins
56.25% ±14.54%
1.42 -20.1%
Draw
25.68% ±4.82%
5.25 +34.8%
Marseille wins
18.07% ±9.93%
6.13 +10.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Paris SG
Marseille

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Paris SG
Marseille
Shots 18.1 14.4
Shots On Target 7.0 5.9
Corners 6.2 4.6
Fouls 10.1 12.3
Yellow Cards 1.1 1.8
Red Cards 0.1 0.3

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Paris SG
Marseille
Shots 13.1 12.0
Shots On Target 5.0 3.4
Corners 4.1 4.7
Fouls 9.9 12.0
Yellow Cards 1.6 1.0
Red Cards 0.2 0.3

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Paris SG Wins

8

Draws

1

Marseille Wins

1
Date Result Score
22 Sep 2025 Marseille Win 1:0
16 Mar 2025 Paris SG Win 3:1
27 Oct 2024 Paris SG Win 0:3
31 Mar 2024 Paris SG Win 0:2
24 Sep 2023 Paris SG Win 4:0

Paris SG - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Feb 2026 Strasbourg 1:2 W
23 Jan 2026 Auxerre 0:1 W
16 Jan 2026 Lille 3:0 W
4 Jan 2026 Paris FC 2:1 W
13 Dec 2025 Metz 2:3 W

Marseille - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
31 Jan 2026 Paris FC 2:2 D
24 Jan 2026 Lens 3:1 W
17 Jan 2026 Angers 2:5 W
4 Jan 2026 Nantes 0:2 L
14 Dec 2025 Monaco 1:0 W